tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:08 am at Oklahoma City)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 3679 at 06:15, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
AA 3679 American flown by Envoy Flight history → OKC 06:15 MIA 10:23 7% 3% 0.5% 93%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → OKC 05:00 → MDW 06:55WN 3121 1h 10m Chicago MDW 08:05 → MIA 12:10WN 2119 6h 10m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 2h 43m Denver DEN 09:41 → MIA 15:51UA 1418 8h 46m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 3h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:08 → MIA 13:04AA 868 7h 03m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:44 → ORD 08:50AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest 1h 17m Chicago ORD 10:07 → MIA 14:19AA 2689 6h 35m 96% 80%
UnitedDetails → OKC 05:04 → IAH 06:40UA 5453 · flown by SkyWest 1h 10m Houston IAH 07:50 → MIA 11:35UA 2753 5h 31m 95% 78%
SouthwestDetails → OKC 07:35 → BNA 09:20WN 3107 2h 55m Nashville BNA 12:15 → MIA 15:35WN 2952 7h 00m 100% 77%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:00 → ATL 10:10DL 1158 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → MIA 15:30DL 1323 7h 30m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → MIA 13:02DL 1332 6h 13m 97% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → OKC 08:25 → DFW 09:44AA 6203 · flown by SkyWest 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:30 → MIA 14:26AA 656 5h 01m 72% 53%
AmericanDetails → OKC 15:20 → PHX 15:47AA 6517 · flown by SkyWest 57m Phoenix PHX 16:44 → MIA 00:01 +1AA 3148 7h 41m 68% 48%
AmericanDetails → OKC 16:38 → DFW 17:49AA 3730 · flown by Envoy 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:41 → MIA 22:37AA 2050 4h 59m 70% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON