tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:12 pm at Omaha); 3 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 17:50, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Los Angeles on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 46% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 17:50 → SLC 19:31DL 3896 · flown by SkyWest 3h 14m Salt Lake City SLC 22:45 → LAX 23:42DL 1197 7h 52m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → OMA 17:40 → MSP 19:04DL 3948 · flown by SkyWest 2h 55m Minneapolis MSP 21:59 → LAX 23:53DL 2103 8h 13m 94% 76%
UnitedDetails → OMA 17:27 → DEN 18:15UA 1943 3h 05m Denver DEN 21:20 → LAX 22:55UA 531 7h 28m 95% 71%
AmericanDetails → OMA 18:25 → ORD 20:37AA 4724 · flown by Republic 1h 53m Chicago ORD 22:30 → LAX 00:52 +1AA 1209 8h 27m 92% 56%
DeltaDetails → OMA 18:33 → ATL 22:00DL 2364 1h 03m Atlanta ATL 23:03 → LAX 00:50 +1DL 8783 8h 17m 86% 56%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 17:15 → STL 18:30WN 3365 3h 25m St Louis STL 21:55 → LAX 23:50WN 2269 8h 35m 100% 54%
FrontierDetails → OMA 20:00 → DEN 20:50F9 1127 1h 49m Denver DEN 22:39 → LAX 00:11 +1F9 4345 6h 11m 76% 53%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 18:10 → DEN 18:55WN 1709 2h 15m Denver DEN 21:10 → LAX 22:45WN 3110 6h 35m 85% 49%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → OMA 20:30 → LAS 21:25WN 2844 1h 00m Las Vegas LAS 22:25 → LAX 23:45WN 1056 5h 15m 63% 38%
AmericanDetails → OMA 19:29 → DFW 21:21AA 2270 1h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:26 → LAX 23:39AA 2038 6h 10m 63% 31%
SouthwestDetails → OMA 19:30 → DEN 20:10WN 3050 55m Denver DEN 21:05 → LAX 22:33WN 3987 5h 03m 46% 24%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON