tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:43 pm at Chicago); 5 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
UA 3496 United flown by Republic Flight history → ORD 18:20 SAV 21:56 18% 4% 0.3% 71%
UA 1191 United ORD 17:19 SAV 20:40 22% 4% 0.3% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → ORD 14:48 → MIA 18:26AA 791 3h 55m Miami MIA 22:21 → SAV 23:59AA 3920 · flown by Envoy 8h 11m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → ORD 15:22 → ATL 18:36DL 1477 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 21:40 → SAV 22:49DL 3168 6h 27m 98% 74%
DeltaDetails → ORD 18:22 → ATL 21:39DL 2740 1h 07m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 4h 31m 79% 62%
UnitedDetails → ORD 15:57 → EWR 19:33UA 2171 1h 56m Newark EWR 21:29 → SAV 23:52UA 2291 6h 55m 90% 60%
AmericanDetails → ORD 16:45 → CLT 19:59AA 1683 2h 46m Charlotte CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517 6h 12m 92% 56%
AmericanDetails → ORD 15:10 → DFW 17:11AA 2429 2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:14 → SAV 22:42AA 1092 6h 32m 84% 43%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → ORD 15:43 → PHL 19:05AA 2840 55m Philadelphia PHL 20:00 → SAV 22:27AA 5273 · flown by PSA 5h 44m 67% 42%
AmericanDetails → ORD 18:47 → CLT 21:59AA 689 46m Charlotte CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517 4h 10m 64% 39%
AmericanDetails → ORD 15:49 → DFW 18:25AA 2754 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:14 → SAV 22:42AA 1092 5h 53m 65% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON