Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 4599 at 11:30, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 4599 Southwest Flight history →	PBI 11:30	BNA 12:50	9%	3%	0.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	PBI 06:10 → MCO 07:10WN 3083	1h 46m Orlando	MCO 08:56 → BNA 09:58WN 2680	4h 48m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	PBI 09:00 → ATL 10:47DL 1106	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159	6h 03m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867	6h 30m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	PBI 18:27 → ATL 20:34DL 1458	2h 26m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	5h 48m	97%	82%
United Details →	PBI 06:00 → EWR 08:54UA 2158	2h 01m Newark	EWR 10:55 → BNA 12:18UA 1616	7h 18m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	PBI 10:00 → ATL 11:47DL 1266	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 14:25 → BNA 14:37DL 790	5h 37m	100%	82%
Southwest Details →	PBI 14:40 → BWI 17:05WN 1072	2h 50m Baltimore	BWI 19:55 → BNA 20:50WN 687	7h 10m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	PBI 07:25 → BWI 09:50WN 3189	3h 15m Baltimore	BWI 13:05 → BNA 14:00WN 3245	7h 35m	100%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	PBI 10:09 → CLT 12:07AA 2278	46m Charlotte	CLT 12:53 → BNA 13:23AA 1295	4h 14m	56%	43%
Delta Details →	PBI 15:20 → LGA 18:22DL 2396	53m New York	LGA 19:15 → BNA 21:00DL 4723 · flown by Endeavor	6h 40m	69%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON