Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 09:00, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Dallas on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PBI 09:00 → ATL 10:47DL 1106	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	7h 03m	100%	84%
Southwest Details →	PBI 06:10 → MCO 07:10WN 3083	3h 10m Orlando	MCO 10:20 → DAL 11:55WN 380	6h 45m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115	6h 24m	99%	82%
Southwest Details →	PBI 11:30 → BNA 12:50WN 4599	2h 35m Nashville	BNA 15:25 → DAL 17:20WN 489	6h 50m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	PBI 11:02 → ATL 12:51DL 1311	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	7h 52m	99%	79%
Southwest Details →	PBI 14:40 → BWI 17:05WN 1072	2h 55m Baltimore	BWI 20:00 → DAL 22:10WN 693	8h 30m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	PBI 16:55 → ATL 18:53DL 838	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	6h 30m	98%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON