tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, UA 1752 at 17:05, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 1752 United Flight history → PBI 17:05 IAH 18:59 28% 6% 0.8% 68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PBI 15:58 → ORD 18:32UA 312 3h 08m Chicago ORD 21:40 → IAH 00:34 +1UA 2665 9h 36m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → PBI 12:25 → DTW 15:20DL 2926 1h 31m Detroit DTW 16:51 → IAH 18:52DL 1529 7h 27m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → PBI 06:00 → EWR 08:54UA 2158 1h 59m Newark EWR 10:53 → IAH 13:38UA 556 8h 38m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → PBI 09:00 → ATL 10:47DL 1106 3h 56m Atlanta ATL 14:43 → IAH 15:56DL 1223 7h 56m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → PBI 10:00 → ATL 11:47DL 1266 2h 59m Atlanta ATL 14:46 → IAH 15:56DL 2890 6h 56m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → PBI 16:55 → ATL 18:53DL 838 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → IAH 23:57DL 1601 8h 02m 99% 75%
DeltaDetails → PBI 07:00 → ATL 08:50DL 1352 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 7h 33m 99% 75%
DeltaDetails → PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 14m 99% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON