tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 388 at 11:11, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 388 JetBlue Flight history → PBI 11:11 PVD 14:08 14% 6% 0.8% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Providence on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → PBI 07:25 → BWI 09:50WN 3189 1h 45m Baltimore BWI 11:35 → PVD 12:58WN 3260 5h 33m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → PBI 05:43 → CLT 07:40AA 2848 3h 32m Charlotte CLT 11:12 → PVD 13:23AA 1877 7h 40m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → PBI 09:00 → ATL 10:47DL 1106 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → PVD 16:29DL 2314 7h 29m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → PBI 12:50 → ATL 14:48DL 1527 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 17:40 → PVD 20:09DL 2659 7h 19m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → PBI 16:55 → ATL 18:53DL 838 2h 34m Atlanta ATL 21:27 → PVD 23:57DL 2064 7h 02m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 10:00 → PVD 12:29DL 2147 6h 29m 98% 79%
SouthwestDetails → PBI 14:40 → BWI 17:05WN 1072 2h 20m Baltimore BWI 19:25 → PVD 21:00WN 1063 6h 20m 100% 79%
AmericanDetails → PBI 10:09 → CLT 12:07AA 2278 1h 12m Charlotte CLT 13:19 → PVD 15:21AA 3010 5h 12m 96% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → PBI 18:27 → ATL 20:34DL 1458 53m Atlanta ATL 21:27 → PVD 23:57DL 2064 5h 30m 72% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON