Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 9:44 am at Portland)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AS 1323 Alaska	PDX 10:34	PSP 13:04	17%	5%	0.5%	no record
AS 3022 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history →	PDX 17:36	PSP 20:14	20%	11%	0.4%	68%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PDX 09:45 → SLC 12:33DL 1203	3h 07m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 48m	99%	87%
Southwest Details →	PDX 12:15 → SMF 13:45WN 3212	3h 16m Sacramento	SMF 17:01 → PSP 18:39WN 1717	6h 24m	100%	84%
Southwest Details →	PDX 12:25 → OAK 14:10WN 4928	2h 40m Oakland	OAK 16:50 → PSP 18:25WN 2502	6h 00m	100%	77%
United Details →	PDX 12:50 → DEN 16:28UA 1411	3h 02m Denver	DEN 19:30 → PSP 21:01UA 2644	8h 11m	96%	70%
United Details →	PDX 13:14 → SFO 15:05UA 2279	3h 33m San Francisco	SFO 18:38 → PSP 20:26UA 5705 · flown by SkyWest	7h 12m	100%	70%
Southwest Details →	PDX 16:25 → LAS 18:40WN 4732	3h 53m Las Vegas	LAS 22:33 → PSP 23:40WN 4651	7h 15m	100%	70%
American Details →	PDX 11:54 → DFW 17:49AA 2287	1h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:35 → PSP 20:36AA 2709	8h 42m	96%	66%
Southwest Details →	PDX 14:45 → DEN 18:20WN 2519	2h 35m Denver	DEN 20:55 → PSP 22:15WN 3830	7h 30m	96%	66%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	PDX 12:21 → SEA 13:23AS 3038 · flown by SkyWest	1h 04m Seattle	SEA 14:27 → PSP 17:11AS 322	4h 50m	66%	41%
Alaska Details →	PDX 10:42 → SFO 12:39AS 1445	52m San Francisco	SFO 13:31 → PSP 15:11AS 3081 · flown by SkyWest	4h 29m	57%	38%
Alaska Details →	PDX 17:36 → SFO 19:30AS 504	49m San Francisco	SFO 20:19 → PSP 21:57AS 3356 · flown by SkyWest	4h 21m	58%	37%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON