Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:51 am at Pittsburgh); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, G4 3481 at 20:09, with a 33% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


G4 3481 Allegiant	PIT 20:09	FLL 22:52	33%	9%	1.0%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	PIT 08:36 → ORD 09:30UA 3461 · flown by Republic	3h 13m Chicago	ORD 12:43 → FLL 16:52UA 1294	8h 16m	99%	86%
United Details →	PIT 07:00 → ORD 07:48UA 2218	3h 11m Chicago	ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279	8h 13m	98%	85%
United Details →	PIT 07:35 → EWR 09:18UA 3513 · flown by Republic	2h 19m Newark	EWR 11:37 → FLL 14:42UA 677	7h 07m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	PIT 07:20 → JFK 09:00DL 5677 · flown by Republic	2h 14m New York	JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305	7h 04m	98%	82%
United Details →	PIT 07:25 → EWR 08:58UA 3673 · flown by Republic	3h 02m Newark	EWR 12:00 → FLL 15:18UA 2759	7h 53m	100%	82%
Southwest Details →	PIT 08:45 → MDW 09:10WN 3378	3h 40m Chicago	MDW 12:50 → FLL 16:50WN 1487	8h 05m	99%	82%
American Details →	PIT 09:55 → ORD 10:42AA 4480 · flown by Republic	1h 53m Chicago	ORD 12:35 → FLL 16:43AA 672	6h 48m	100%	81%
United Details →	PIT 09:12 → EWR 10:43UA 3560 · flown by Republic	2h 47m Newark	EWR 13:30 → FLL 16:40UA 651	7h 28m	100%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	PIT 17:05 → PHL 18:34AA 2312	46m Philadelphia	PHL 19:20 → FLL 22:25AA 1864	5h 20m	55%	38%
Delta Details →	PIT 17:04 → JFK 18:56DL 5085 · flown by Endeavor	1h 02m New York	JFK 19:58 → FLL 23:28DL 1414	6h 24m	53%	36%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON