tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:09 pm at Palm Springs); 5 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1843 United Flight history → PSP 13:30 DEN 16:43 18% 7% 0.2% 76%
WN 1573 Southwest PSP 14:55 DEN 18:04 22% 7% 0.1% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Palm Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PSP 16:07 → SFO 17:50UA 4786 · flown by SkyWest 3h 10m San Francisco SFO 21:00 → DEN 00:47 +1UA 301 7h 40m 98% 76%
UnitedDetails → PSP 14:37 → SFO 16:18UA 5946 · flown by SkyWest 2h 38m San Francisco SFO 18:56 → DEN 22:44UA 2436 7h 07m 98% 72%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:31 → SFO 15:12UA 1430 2h 18m San Francisco SFO 17:30 → DEN 21:28UA 1214 6h 57m 93% 71%
DeltaDetails → PSP 17:15 → SLC 20:00DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 1h 05m Salt Lake City SLC 21:05 → DEN 22:40DL 1667 4h 25m 86% 71%
SouthwestDetails → PSP 14:15 → OAK 15:40WN 2422 4h 00m Oakland OAK 19:40 → DEN 23:10WN 2418 7h 55m 95% 65%
SouthwestDetails → PSP 16:10 → LAS 17:20WN 4199 1h 10m Las Vegas LAS 18:30 → DEN 21:25WN 3843 4h 15m 87% 61%
AmericanDetails → PSP 14:02 → DFW 19:06AA 2548 1h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:29 → DEN 21:32AA 577 6h 30m 84% 43%
AmericanDetails → PSP 17:08 → PHX 18:22AA 3949 · flown by Envoy 49m Phoenix PHX 19:11 → DEN 22:03AA 3255 3h 55m 82% 43%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PSP 18:27 → SFO 20:10UA 5631 · flown by SkyWest 50m San Francisco SFO 21:00 → DEN 00:47 +1UA 301 5h 20m 66% 51%
AmericanDetails → PSP 16:51 → PHX 18:05AA 2929 55m Phoenix PHX 19:00 → DEN 21:52AA 1638 4h 01m 54% 28%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON