Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 8 nonstops
Tomorrow: WN 3561 at 05:50 is the safest bet, 4% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 20–28%.
Against a calm day
16%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 15% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| WN 3561 Southwest | RDU 05:50 | DEN 07:38 | 4% | 1% | 0.2% | no record |
| WN 4083 Southwest Flight history → | RDU 05:15 | DEN 06:50 | 4% | 1% | 0.1% | 88% |
| UA 741 United | RDU 08:09 | DEN 10:01 | 14% | 6% | 0.3% | no record |
| UA 2383 United Flight history → | RDU 08:30 | DEN 10:17 | 15% | 4% | 0.3% | 90% |
| UA 2288 United Flight history → | RDU 16:22 | DEN 18:25 | 20% | 5% | 0.6% | 81% |
| WN 3562 Southwest | RDU 18:15 | DEN 20:01 | 22% | 4% | 0.6% | no record |
| F9 2225 Frontier Flight history → | RDU 18:12 | DEN 20:13 | 22% | 5% | 0.8% | 82% |
| WN 3428 Southwest Flight history → | RDU 16:55 | DEN 18:40 | 28% | 4% | 0.5% | 43% |
Alternatives with one stop that day
All connections →About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON