Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 11 nonstops
Tomorrow: AA 1574 at 05:56 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 28–35%.
Against a calm day
22%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 17% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| AA 1574 American | RDU 05:56 | MIA 08:02 | 10% | 3% | 1.3% | no record |
| DL 890 Delta Flight history → | RDU 08:15 | MIA 10:26 | 11% | 3% | 0.9% | 82% |
| AA 3501 American flown by Envoy Flight history → | RDU 07:00 | MIA 09:10 | 13% | 5% | 1.2% | 75% |
| AA 3122 American | RDU 07:14 | MIA 09:20 | 17% | 4% | 1.6% | no record |
| AA 3010 American Flight history → | RDU 08:30 | MIA 10:44 | 20% | 4% | 1.3% | 86% |
| AA 2405 American Flight history → | RDU 11:10 | MIA 13:19 | 22% | 5% | 1.0% | 90%worse than usual |
| AA 2101 American | RDU 11:38 | MIA 13:57 | 22% | 6% | 1.0% | no record |
| MQ 3710 Envoy | RDU 16:48 | MIA 18:55 | 28% | 9% | 1.2% | no record |
| F9 2335 Frontier Flight history → | RDU 18:14 | MIA 20:30 | 31% | 13% | 1.3% | 66% |
| AA 2375 American Flight history → | RDU 19:46 | MIA 22:00 | 33% | 8% | 1.2% | 42% |
| AA 2406 American Flight history → | RDU 17:30 | MIA 19:49 | 35% | 9% | 1.6% | 55% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON