tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:50 am at San Antonio); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2675 Delta Flight history → SAT 18:05 MSP 20:58 16% 4% 0.1% 80%
DL 2528 Delta Flight history → SAT 14:26 MSP 17:16 16% 3% 0.1% 77%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → SAT 09:05 → DEN 10:15WN 1577 3h 42m Denver DEN 13:57 → MSP 16:59WN 277 7h 54m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → SAT 07:00 → IAD 11:27UA 471 1h 53m Dulles IAD 13:20 → MSP 15:11UA 3576 · flown by Republic 8h 11m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → SAT 08:53 → DEN 10:11UA 2853 3h 31m Denver DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732 7h 53m 97% 83%
SouthwestDetails → SAT 16:50 → STL 19:00WN 3590 2h 50m St Louis STL 21:50 → MSP 23:31WN 489 6h 41m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAT 12:39 → SLC 14:30DL 930 2h 51m Salt Lake City SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935 8h 15m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → SAT 09:42 → IAH 10:49UA 753 3h 31m Houston IAH 14:20 → MSP 17:12UA 2150 7h 30m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAT 11:29 → DTW 15:35DL 788 2h 35m Detroit DTW 18:10 → MSP 19:07DL 1842 7h 38m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAT 07:00 → SFO 08:55UA 5479 · flown by SkyWest 1h 24m San Francisco SFO 10:19 → MSP 15:56UA 1050 8h 56m 96% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SAT 17:32 → ORD 20:33UA 1316 55m Chicago ORD 21:28 → MSP 23:10UA 1131 5h 38m 70% 56%
UnitedDetails → SAT 17:57 → IAH 19:04UA 2323 56m Houston IAH 20:00 → MSP 23:08UA 1872 5h 11m 70% 52%
UnitedDetails → SAT 13:39 → DEN 14:55UA 1007 47m Denver DEN 15:42 → MSP 18:46UA 2470 5h 07m 59% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON