Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 3595 Southwest Flight history →	SAV 13:10	DAL 14:35	18%	4%	0.9%	56%
WN 4288 Southwest	SAV 17:05	DAL 18:44	21%	7%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	SAV 06:45 → BNA 07:10WN 3592	1h 02m Nashville	BNA 08:12 → DAL 10:17WN 523	4h 32m	97%	88%
Southwest Details →	SAV 15:55 → MDW 17:10WN 3596	3h 30m Chicago	MDW 20:40 → DAL 22:55WN 1005	8h 00m	99%	82%
Southwest Details →	SAV 16:50 → HOU 18:15WN 777	3h 45m Houston	HOU 22:00 → DAL 23:10WN 64	7h 20m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → DAL 09:21DL 441	4h 42m	96%	80%
Southwest Details →	SAV 17:25 → STL 18:30WN 1094	3h 20m St Louis	STL 21:50 → DAL 23:30WN 3904	7h 05m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115	5h 41m	98%	78%
Southwest Details →	SAV 13:15 → BNA 13:40WN 2076	1h 45m Nashville	BNA 15:25 → DAL 17:20WN 489	5h 05m	100%	76%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	6h 00m	99%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON