tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:27 pm at Savannah); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 17:16, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 60% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:16 → MSP 19:15DL 2574 3h 00m Minneapolis MSP 22:15 → DEN 23:27DL 1705 8h 11m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAV 16:53 → ORD 18:30UA 291 3h 46m Chicago ORD 22:16 → DEN 00:08 +1UA 767 9h 15m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → SAV 17:15 → IAH 18:28UA 6185 · flown by Mesa 3h 42m Houston IAH 22:10 → DEN 23:57UA 1066 8h 42m 95% 76%
SouthwestDetails → SAV 17:25 → STL 18:30WN 1094 3h 20m St Louis STL 21:50 → DEN 23:10WN 4067 7h 45m 100% 72%
DeltaDetails → SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → DEN 00:23 +1DL 956 7h 16m 86% 62%
UnitedDetails → SAV 19:11 → IAD 21:12UA 6165 · flown by Mesa 1h 11m Dulles IAD 22:23 → DEN 00:30 +1UA 495 7h 19m 75% 62%
SouthwestDetails → SAV 16:50 → HOU 18:15WN 777 1h 10m Houston HOU 19:25 → DEN 21:10WN 4639 6h 20m 79% 60%
AmericanDetails → SAV 19:24 → DFW 21:11AA 2509 1h 45m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:56 → DEN 00:09 +1AA 2852 6h 45m 84% 54%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SAV 18:38 → CLT 19:52AA 2076 1h 26m Charlotte CLT 21:18 → DEN 23:09AA 2366 6h 31m 60% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON