tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:51 pm at Savannah); 2 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 23–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3651 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SAV 18:10 DTW 20:27 23% 8% 0.6% 68%
OO 3711 SkyWest SAV 18:01 DTW 20:10 25% 8% 0.6% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SAV 16:53 → ORD 18:30UA 291 2h 50m Chicago ORD 21:20 → DTW 23:54UA 3475 · flown by Republic 7h 01m 97% 86%
AmericanDetails → SAV 13:24 → ORD 14:59AA 2507 3h 12m Chicago ORD 18:11 → DTW 20:46AA 3500 · flown by Envoy 7h 22m 96% 76%
SouthwestDetails → SAV 15:55 → MDW 17:10WN 3596 2h 25m Chicago MDW 19:35 → DTW 21:45WN 2746 5h 50m 99% 75%
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:16 → MSP 19:15DL 2574 1h 47m Minneapolis MSP 21:02 → DTW 23:48DL 8805 6h 32m 94% 73%
DeltaDetails → SAV 13:57 → ATL 15:08DL 940 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478 6h 16m 98% 72%
AmericanDetails → SAV 18:37 → CLT 19:51AA 2076 3h 00m Charlotte CLT 22:51 → DTW 00:41 +1AA 370 6h 04m 100% 69%
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 21:45 → DTW 23:44DL 651 6h 39m 95% 68%
AmericanDetails → SAV 17:56 → CLT 19:22AA 5196 · flown by PSA 3h 30m Charlotte CLT 22:52 → DTW 00:45 +1AA 2988 6h 49m 98% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SAV 18:22 → MIA 19:55AA 3782 · flown by Envoy 50m Miami MIA 20:45 → DTW 23:56AA 2649 5h 34m 66% 47%
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014 52m Atlanta ATL 19:11 → DTW 21:11DL 1262 4h 06m 65% 45%
AmericanDetails → SAV 18:37 → CLT 19:51AA 2076 55m Charlotte CLT 20:46 → DTW 22:34AA 419 3h 57m 58% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON