Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:53 am at Savannah)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, WN 1094 at 17:25, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 1094 Southwest Flight history →	SAV 17:25	STL 18:30	25%	4%	0.3%	73%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 11:37 → DTW 13:45DL 909	3h 00m Detroit	DTW 16:45 → STL 17:24DL 2822	6h 47m	100%	83%
Southwest Details →	SAV 10:55 → BWI 12:35WN 3594	3h 20m Baltimore	BWI 15:55 → STL 17:26WN 1171	7h 31m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 17:16 → MSP 19:15DL 2574	2h 35m Minneapolis	MSP 21:50 → STL 23:22DL 1609	7h 06m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → STL 23:53DL 1403	5h 46m	89%	74%
United Details →	SAV 11:30 → ORD 13:07UA 1215	1h 13m Chicago	ORD 14:20 → STL 15:46UA 2000	5h 16m	88%	72%
American Details →	SAV 18:37 → CLT 19:51AA 2076	3h 05m Charlotte	CLT 22:56 → STL 23:58AA 459	6h 21m	100%	71%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:40 → ATL 13:57DL 3054	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 17:10 → STL 17:53DL 1393	6h 13m	97%	71%
Delta Details →	SAV 11:37 → ATL 12:47DL 932	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 15:17 → STL 16:09DL 543	5h 32m	96%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	SAV 15:55 → MDW 17:10WN 3596	50m Chicago	MDW 18:00 → STL 19:10WN 2904	4h 15m	66%	51%
American Details →	SAV 19:24 → DFW 21:11AA 2509	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:01 → STL 23:54AA 1445	5h 30m	62%	41%
American Details →	SAV 15:17 → DFW 17:12AA 2048	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:02 → STL 19:53AA 2761	5h 36m	56%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON