tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 965 at 11:40, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 965 Southwest Flight history → SJC 11:40 DAL 17:05 18% 3% 0.6% 50%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → SJC 06:15 → LGB 07:35WN 4933 1h 55m Long Beach LGB 09:30 → DAL 14:30WN 264 6h 15m 100% 87%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 06:25 → PHX 08:20WN 3186 2h 35m Phoenix PHX 10:55 → DAL 15:20WN 3255 6h 55m 100% 84%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 12:40 → AUS 18:05WN 3655 3h 50m Austin AUS 21:55 → DAL 23:05WN 280 8h 25m 100% 83%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 07:40 → LAS 09:10WN 1277 1h 40m Las Vegas LAS 10:50 → DAL 15:40WN 2218 6h 00m 100% 83%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 09:20 → HOU 15:10WN 3673 2h 20m Houston HOU 17:30 → DAL 18:40WN 46 7h 20m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 08:50 → BNA 15:05WN 3657 2h 10m Nashville BNA 17:15 → DAL 19:10WN 5071 8h 20m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780 9h 19m 98% 78%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 10:05 → MDW 16:10WN 4357 2h 15m Chicago MDW 18:25 → DAL 20:40WN 2961 8h 35m 99% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → SJC 14:35 → DEN 18:00WN 3668 1h 05m Denver DEN 19:05 → DAL 22:05WN 1522 5h 30m 75% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON