tailodds FORECAST
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Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Southwest via Midway, leaving 10:05, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → SJC 10:05 → MDW 16:10WN 4357 3h 25m Chicago MDW 19:35 → FLL 23:35WN 2777 10h 30m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → SJC 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 1314 1h 50m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745 8h 28m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → SJC 18:12 → LAX 19:34DL 1438 3h 25m Los Angeles LAX 22:59 → FLL 07:05 +1DL 477 9h 53m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → SJC 06:30 → ORD 12:54UA 2451 1h 06m Chicago ORD 14:00 → FLL 18:15UA 2635 8h 45m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 08:50 → BNA 15:05WN 3657 1h 35m Nashville BNA 16:40 → FLL 20:00WN 285 8h 10m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → SJC 12:40 → ATL 20:24DL 809 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 8h 59m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → SJC 08:45 → DEN 12:23UA 586 1h 34m Denver DEN 13:57 → FLL 20:01UA 1384 8h 16m 95% 78%
DeltaDetails → SJC 07:20 → SEA 09:42DL 4041 · flown by SkyWest 3h 18m Seattle SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338 11h 32m 98% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON