tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3165 Southwest SJC 06:00 HOU 11:44 5% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3673 Southwest Flight history → SJC 09:20 HOU 15:10 13% 2% 0.5% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → SJC 06:15 → LGB 07:35WN 4933 1h 15m Long Beach LGB 08:50 → HOU 14:05WN 2483 5h 50m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 06:35 → ONT 07:55WN 4879 1h 45m Ontario ONT 09:40 → HOU 14:50WN 4868 6h 15m 100% 86%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 10:05 → MDW 16:10WN 4357 3h 05m Chicago MDW 19:15 → HOU 21:50WN 1431 9h 45m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 13:10 → DEN 16:35WN 3667 2h 05m Denver DEN 18:40 → HOU 22:15WN 606 7h 05m 100% 77%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 18:20 → LAX 19:40WN 3680 4h 00m Los Angeles LAX 23:40 → HOU 05:00 +1WN 2402 8h 40m 100% 77%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 06:25 → PHX 08:20WN 3186 2h 05m Phoenix PHX 10:25 → HOU 15:05WN 3067 6h 40m 100% 77%
SouthwestDetails → SJC 11:40 → DAL 17:05WN 965 3h 25m Dallas DAL 20:30 → HOU 21:40WN 57 8h 00m 100% 77%
DeltaDetails → SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654 57m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381 7h 47m 91% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SJC 11:47 → DFW 17:30AA 2572 1h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:34 → HOU 19:53AA 3351 · flown by Envoy 6h 06m 74% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON