Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 12:40, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching West Palm Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJC 12:40 → ATL 20:24DL 809	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065	9h 11m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 16:40 → PBI 18:36DL 959	9h 01m	98%	79%
American Details →	SJC 06:01 → DFW 11:46AA 1019	1h 43m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:29 → PBI 17:19AA 2282	8h 18m	95%	65%
American Details →	SJC 11:47 → DFW 17:30AA 2572	1h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:50 → PBI 22:45AA 2467	7h 58m	79%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON