tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:26 am at Salt Lake City)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Southwest via Midway, leaving 14:05, is the safest bet: 64% chance of reaching Columbus on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 67% of the time.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2230 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CMH 22:52 25% 5% 0.1% 80%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244 3h 35m Detroit DTW 22:50 → CMH 23:56DL 5634 · flown by Republic 8h 06m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → SLC 12:45 → ORD 16:55UA 1382 2h 50m Chicago ORD 19:45 → CMH 22:24UA 3614 · flown by Republic 7h 39m 95% 84%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:28 → ORD 18:02AA 2616 2h 53m Chicago ORD 20:55 → CMH 23:33AA 4445 · flown by Republic 8h 05m 92% 81%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 43m Minneapolis MSP 20:15 → CMH 23:07DL 1356 7h 07m 96% 74%
AmericanDetails → SLC 14:00 → DFW 17:50AA 2613 2h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:56 → CMH 23:22AA 3995 · flown by Envoy 7h 22m 93% 71%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 22:03 → CMH 23:40DL 1459 8h 05m 96% 70%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 49m Denver DEN 17:40 → CMH 22:37UA 1843 7h 32m 96% 68%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:00 → IAH 17:12UA 497 3h 01m Houston IAH 20:13 → CMH 23:59UA 2086 8h 59m 97% 68%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 12:45 → ORD 16:55UA 1382 50m Chicago ORD 17:45 → CMH 20:24UA 3674 · flown by Republic 5h 39m 72% 64%
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:18 → ORD 20:40UA 2072 50m Chicago ORD 21:30 → CMH 23:59UA 1492 5h 41m 67% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON