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Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:41 am at Salt Lake City)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4449 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 15:51 COS 17:35 11% 4% 0.2% 92%
DL 3788 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 20:59 COS 22:41 11% 4% 0.2% 91%

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → SLC 17:57 → DEN 19:40UA 1910 3h 29m Denver DEN 23:09 → COS 23:59UA 4745 · flown by SkyWest 6h 02m 97% 74%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 19:00 → PHX 19:40WN 3538 3h 00m Phoenix PHX 22:40 → COS 01:25 +1WN 4878 6h 25m 98% 68%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 04m Denver DEN 16:55 → COS 17:52UA 5308 · flown by SkyWest 4h 47m 94% 65%
UnitedDetails → SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662 2h 54m Denver DEN 19:05 → COS 20:01UA 4793 · flown by SkyWest 5h 33m 95% 64%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 15:15 → PHX 16:00WN 3353 3h 01m Phoenix PHX 19:01 → COS 21:49WN 2829 6h 34m 100% 63%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 12:55 → SAN 13:50WN 3754 2h 30m San Diego SAN 16:20 → COS 19:40WN 872 6h 45m 100% 58%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 16:50 → DEN 18:20WN 3740 2h 47m Denver DEN 21:07 → COS 21:55WN 4402 5h 05m 96% 54%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 20:30 → LAS 21:00WN 3745 1h 25m Las Vegas LAS 22:25 → COS 01:20 +1WN 2214 4h 50m 78% 53%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SLC 16:42 → DFW 20:30AA 2594 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:25 → COS 22:23AA 790 5h 41m 65% 40%
UnitedDetails → SLC 17:57 → DEN 19:40UA 1910 50m Denver DEN 20:30 → COS 21:26UA 4744 · flown by SkyWest 3h 29m 58% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON