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Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:41 am at Salt Lake City)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4246 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 11:16 GJT 12:28 5% 3% 0.1% 92%
DL 4234 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 20:50 GJT 21:55 9% 3% 0.5% 97%

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Grand Junction on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Denver DEN 09:35 → GJT 10:44UA 4704 · flown by SkyWest 5h 29m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 2h 58m Denver DEN 13:25 → GJT 14:40UA 5488 · flown by SkyWest 6h 10m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → SLC 10:39 → DEN 12:24UA 2004 3h 56m Denver DEN 16:20 → GJT 17:33UA 4770 · flown by SkyWest 6h 54m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 42m Denver DEN 11:24 → GJT 12:31UA 1714 5h 31m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:40 → PHX 14:41AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest 1h 12m Phoenix PHX 15:53 → GJT 18:23AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest 4h 43m 100% 76%
UnitedDetails → SLC 14:28 → DEN 16:11UA 1662 3h 14m Denver DEN 19:25 → GJT 20:34UA 431 6h 06m 96% 70%
AmericanDetails → SLC 18:50 → PHX 19:37AA 4928 · flown by SkyWest 2h 11m Phoenix PHX 21:48 → GJT 00:16 +1AA 6318 · flown by SkyWest 5h 26m 88% 69%
UnitedDetails → SLC 17:57 → DEN 19:40UA 1910 1h 15m Denver DEN 20:55 → GJT 22:11UA 5240 · flown by SkyWest 4h 14m 79% 61%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON