tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4719 Southwest SLC 11:00 HOU 15:06 16% 5% 0.2% no record
WN 452 Southwest Flight history → SLC 09:55 HOU 14:00 18% 4% 0.2% 69%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → SLC 05:00 → DAL 08:30WN 1725 1h 29m Dallas DAL 09:59 → HOU 11:19WN 15 5h 19m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:15 → PHX 06:55WN 3751 1h 10m Phoenix PHX 08:05 → HOU 12:40WN 2833 5h 25m 99% 84%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 06:30 → LAS 06:55WN 4205 50m Las Vegas LAS 07:45 → HOU 12:55WN 981 5h 25m 93% 83%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → ATL 11:43DL 8770 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381 9h 22m 100% 79%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 10:40 → DEN 12:05WN 3739 2h 25m Denver DEN 14:30 → HOU 17:56WN 4525 6h 16m 100% 77%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 12:20 → DEN 13:50WN 1478 2h 20m Denver DEN 16:10 → HOU 19:36WN 1599 6h 16m 100% 77%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 14:05 → MDW 18:05WN 3750 3h 25m Chicago MDW 21:30 → HOU 00:12 +1WN 4058 9h 07m 100% 75%
AmericanDetails → SLC 11:18 → DFW 15:06AA 2607 3h 22m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:28 → HOU 20:06AA 3391 · flown by Envoy 7h 48m 97% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON