Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:41 am at Salt Lake City)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 3806 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	MFR 11:40	5%	3%	0.1%	90%
DL 3722 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 22:59	MFR 23:54	6%	3%	0.6%	94%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Medford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Medford is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	SLC 08:20 → PDX 09:26AS 3004 · flown by SkyWest	1h 14m Portland	PDX 10:40 → MFR 11:53AS 3300 · flown by SkyWest	4h 33m	100%	91%
Alaska Details →	SLC 12:46 → PDX 13:49AS 3117 · flown by SkyWest	3h 56m Portland	PDX 17:45 → MFR 18:48AS 2163 · flown by Horizon	7h 02m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874	2h 13m Seattle	SEA 11:15 → MFR 12:56DL 3779 · flown by SkyWest	6h 06m	96%	83%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 38m Denver	DEN 11:20 → MFR 13:05UA 337	7h 05m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:35 → SEA 12:49DL 2995	2h 21m Seattle	SEA 15:10 → MFR 16:44DL 3770 · flown by SkyWest	6h 09m	94%	81%
Alaska Details →	SLC 12:26 → PDX 13:29AS 3430 · flown by SkyWest	1h 18m Portland	PDX 14:47 → MFR 16:03AS 3337 · flown by SkyWest	4h 37m	90%	80%
Delta Details →	SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → MFR 23:11DL 3954 · flown by SkyWest	6h 51m	97%	79%
Alaska Details →	SLC 18:44 → SEA 20:00AS 665	2h 40m Seattle	SEA 22:40 → MFR 00:04 +1AS 2461 · flown by Horizon	6h 20m	94%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SLC 19:13 → PHX 20:17AA 3103	53m Phoenix	PHX 21:10 → MFR 23:38AA 4915 · flown by SkyWest	5h 25m	61%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON