tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:54 pm at Salt Lake City)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2619 at 17:45, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2619 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:45 MKE 21:43 21% 6% 0.1% 80%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 48m Minneapolis MSP 20:20 → MKE 21:41DL 4468 · flown by SkyWest 6h 41m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 9h 21m 98% 75%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:28 → ORD 18:02AA 2616 3h 18m Chicago ORD 21:20 → MKE 22:21AA 6357 · flown by SkyWest 7h 53m 94% 69%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 14:05 → MDW 18:05WN 3750 3h 50m Chicago MDW 21:55 → MKE 22:50WN 2043 7h 45m 100% 67%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:00 → IAH 17:12UA 497 2h 45m Houston IAH 19:57 → MKE 22:45UA 5297 · flown by SkyWest 8h 45m 97% 65%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 49m Denver DEN 17:40 → MKE 21:15UA 4774 · flown by SkyWest 7h 10m 95% 62%
SouthwestDetails → SLC 14:50 → LAS 15:15WN 4338 3h 25m Las Vegas LAS 18:40 → MKE 00:11 +1WN 2342 8h 21m 100% 61%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:48 → PHX 14:15AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest 1h 56m Phoenix PHX 16:11 → MKE 21:38AA 1369 6h 50m 100% 61%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 17:57 → DEN 19:40UA 1910 47m Denver DEN 20:27 → MKE 23:59UA 4785 · flown by SkyWest 5h 02m 51% 31%
AmericanDetails → SLC 16:45 → DFW 20:22AA 1456 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:10 → MKE 23:34AA 1234 5h 49m 46% 27%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 16:00 → SEA 17:16AS 734 53m Seattle SEA 18:09 → MKE 23:59AS 307 6h 59m 43% 23%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON