tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 9:21 am at Syracuse); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: American via O'Hare, leaving 10:42, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 54% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → SYR 10:42 → ORD 11:56AA 4044 · flown by Envoy 3h 01m Chicago ORD 14:57 → DFW 17:40AA 2429 7h 58m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → SYR 17:16 → DTW 18:52DL 3565 · flown by SkyWest 1h 54m Detroit DTW 20:46 → DFW 22:32DL 1207 6h 16m 93% 77%
AmericanDetails → SYR 16:56 → ORD 18:14AA 3819 · flown by Envoy 1h 10m Chicago ORD 19:24 → DFW 22:06AA 3544 · flown by Envoy 6h 10m 90% 75%
DeltaDetails → SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 20:50 → DFW 22:11DL 3161 7h 25m 94% 73%
UnitedDetails → SYR 11:56 → ORD 13:15UA 4600 · flown by GoJet 2h 25m Chicago ORD 15:40 → DFW 18:22UA 793 7h 26m 95% 72%
UnitedDetails → SYR 16:15 → DEN 18:05UA 453 2h 48m Denver DEN 20:53 → DFW 23:59UA 2239 8h 44m 99% 71%
AmericanDetails → SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont 2h 56m Philadelphia PHL 15:00 → DFW 17:50AA 402 8h 03m 96% 66%
AmericanDetails → SYR 13:18 → DCA 14:52AA 5589 · flown by PSA 2h 19m Washington DCA 17:11 → DFW 19:41AA 1414 7h 23m 94% 66%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SYR 16:15 → DEN 18:05UA 453 48m Denver DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565 6h 44m 72% 49%
AmericanDetails → SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont 48m Philadelphia PHL 12:52 → DFW 15:31AA 415 5h 44m 54% 40%
DeltaDetails → SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991 48m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → DFW 20:18DL 436 5h 32m 72% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON