tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1853 Southwest ABQ 07:14 AUS 10:07 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1439 Southwest ABQ 14:37 AUS 17:23 9% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 14:15 → AUS 15:50DL 1397 7h 50m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 07:00 → DEN 08:23UA 621 1h 10m Denver DEN 09:33 → AUS 12:54UA 8126 4h 54m 95% 87%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:25 → DFW 08:23AA 1231 1h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:43 → AUS 10:59AA 3054 4h 34m 96% 85%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 12:05 → DFW 14:53AA 3586 · flown by Envoy 2h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:17 → AUS 18:22AA 3722 · flown by Envoy 5h 17m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 13:33 → DEN 15:03UA 1741 3h 36m Denver DEN 18:39 → AUS 21:57UA 1942 7h 24m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 12:13 → IAH 15:30UA 6151 · flown by Mesa 3h 20m Houston IAH 18:50 → AUS 19:57UA 2674 6h 44m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 14:08 → IAH 17:25UA 3986 · flown by Mesa 2h 53m Houston IAH 20:18 → AUS 21:25UA 2621 6h 17m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 07:04 → DFW 10:00AA 99 2h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:08 → AUS 13:19AA 1852 5h 15m 95% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON