tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2941 Southwest ABQ 08:04 BNA 11:40 5% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 4794 Southwest ABQ 11:20 BNA 15:06 9% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:40 → DEN 07:20UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 2h 28m Denver DEN 09:48 → BNA 13:34UA 355 6h 54m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 14:24 → BNA 14:37DL 790 6h 37m 99% 89%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 06:25 → DEN 07:48WN 117 2h 49m Denver DEN 10:37 → BNA 14:13WN 1545 6h 48m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 06:55 → HOU 10:06WN 127 3h 11m Houston HOU 13:17 → BNA 15:18WN 1896 7h 23m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 11:20 → ATL 16:30DL 1004 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490 7h 18m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535 3h 25m Minneapolis MSP 15:29 → BNA 17:35DL 2612 8h 05m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:43 → DFW 08:38AA 1231 1h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:56 → BNA 11:58AA 1396 5h 15m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 13:33 → DEN 15:03UA 1741 2h 27m Denver DEN 17:30 → BNA 21:13UA 1300 6h 40m 99% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON