tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: WN 823 at 06:54 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 21%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 823 Southwest ABQ 06:54 SAN 07:53 5% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 1855 Southwest ABQ 18:22 SAN 19:16 21% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ABQ 18:48 → LAX 19:59DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Los Angeles LAX 22:45 → SAN 23:42DL 3746 · flown by SkyWest 5h 54m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 17:56 → SLC 19:43DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 3h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 22:55 → SAN 23:50DL 1202 6h 54m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest 1h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 5h 13m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 06:00 → LAX 07:09DL 4115 · flown by SkyWest 2h 58m Los Angeles LAX 10:07 → SAN 11:13DL 3716 · flown by SkyWest 6h 13m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:42 → DEN 07:20UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 3h 55m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 7h 59m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:45 → DFW 08:40AA 1231 2h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:56 → SAN 12:19AA 3109 7h 34m 97% 82%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 14:08 → IAH 17:25UA 3986 · flown by Mesa 2h 25m Houston IAH 19:50 → SAN 21:18UA 1911 8h 10m 95% 78%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 07:04 → DFW 10:00AA 99 3h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:20 → SAN 14:30AA 1769 8h 26m 96% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON