Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 657 at 13:13, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 657 Southwest	ALB 13:13	BNA 14:28	6%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867	6h 30m	99%	92%
United Details →	ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225	2h 50m Chicago	ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414	7h 19m	99%	90%
American Details →	ALB 06:57 → ORD 08:17AA 3400 · flown by Envoy	2h 56m Chicago	ORD 11:13 → BNA 12:56AA 2362	6h 59m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	ALB 09:26 → DTW 11:09DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest	1h 16m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557	4h 37m	96%	89%
Delta Details →	ALB 17:01 → DTW 18:47DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	2h 48m Detroit	DTW 21:35 → BNA 22:15DL 2126	6h 14m	98%	89%
American Details →	ALB 07:05 → CLT 09:21AA 440	1h 09m Charlotte	CLT 10:30 → BNA 10:56AA 1295	4h 51m	96%	88%
American Details →	ALB 08:00 → PHL 09:21AA 5901 · flown by Piedmont	4h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 13:21 → BNA 14:30AA 804	7h 30m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	ALB 13:01 → DTW 14:44DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	1h 17m Detroit	DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316	4h 39m	94%	85%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir	46m Dulles	IAD 08:21 → BNA 09:17UA 1366	4h 17m	73%	67%
United Details →	ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 13m Dulles	IAD 17:42 → BNA 18:47UA 2264	4h 57m	74%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON