tailodds FORECAST
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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 68% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2750 United Flight history → ALB 08:00 DEN 10:11 10% 2% 0.6% 84%
WN 1151 Southwest ALB 16:49 DEN 18:40 10% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 38m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 8h 05m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:26 → DTW 11:09DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 33m Detroit DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648 6h 19m 96% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 59m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 42m 95% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 13:01 → DTW 14:44DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 1h 37m Detroit DTW 16:21 → DEN 17:27DL 2431 6h 26m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 09m Chicago ORD 10:56 → DEN 12:34UA 2857 8h 24m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → ALB 10:00 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 58m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 8h 29m 96% 87%
AmericanDetails → ALB 07:05 → CLT 09:21AA 440 3h 48m Charlotte CLT 13:09 → DEN 14:39AA 696 9h 34m 97% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 12m Dulles IAD 17:41 → DEN 19:45UA 599 6h 55m 73% 63%
AmericanDetails → ALB 18:29 → PHL 19:51AA 6024 · flown by Piedmont 51m Philadelphia PHL 20:42 → DEN 22:39AA 2878 6h 10m 68% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON