tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5454 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → ALB 05:44 LGA 06:43 7% 3% 0.7% 94%
DL 5268 Delta flown by Endeavor Flight history → ALB 12:22 LGA 13:21 16% 3% 0.7% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 17:01 → DTW 18:47DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 3h 03m Detroit DTW 21:50 → LGA 23:40DL 2603 6h 39m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 6h 42m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 2h 24m Detroit DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589 5h 45m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → ALB 13:01 → DTW 14:44DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 3h 15m Detroit DTW 17:59 → LGA 19:50DL 2604 6h 49m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → ATL 15:00DL 1137 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434 8h 00m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → ALB 07:05 → CLT 09:21AA 440 2h 23m Charlotte CLT 11:44 → LGA 13:47AA 2796 6h 42m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:41 → DTW 11:32DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 2h 30m Detroit DTW 14:02 → LGA 15:53DL 2602 6h 12m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → ALB 18:27 → DCA 20:04AA 5501 · flown by PSA 2h 33m Washington DCA 22:37 → LGA 00:00 +1AA 4719 · flown by Republic 5h 33m 96% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON