tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4224 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record AMA 09:00 IAH 10:52 9% 4% 0.6% 91%
UA 4816 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record AMA 15:18 IAH 17:10 15% 8% 0.5% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → AMA 08:00 → DEN 08:41UA 5221 · flown by SkyWest 2h 53m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 09m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → AMA 05:04 → DFW 06:25AA 4257 · flown by Envoy 3h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:57 → IAH 11:17AA 2438 6h 13m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → AMA 07:22 → DFW 08:46AA 4258 · flown by Envoy 1h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:04 → IAH 11:24AA 1407 4h 02m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → AMA 17:20 → DEN 18:06UA 4743 · flown by SkyWest 2h 22m Denver DEN 20:28 → IAH 23:59UA 2419 6h 39m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → AMA 15:06 → DFW 16:16AA 3383 · flown by Envoy 3h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:04 → IAH 21:21AA 1392 6h 15m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → AMA 16:35 → DFW 17:52AA 3613 · flown by Envoy 3h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:10 → IAH 22:24AA 2209 5h 49m 99% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON