Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Southwest via Las Vegas, leaving 07:17, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Burbank on time.

Nonstops that day


DL 483 Delta Flight history →	ATL 11:19	BUR 12:55	10%	1%	0.8%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	2h 55m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	9h 02m	100%	94%
Southwest Details →	ATL 07:17 → LAS 08:32WN 212	3h 41m Las Vegas	LAS 12:13 → BUR 13:23WN 2133	9h 06m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	3h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:50 → BUR 21:48DL 339	9h 28m	100%	87%
United Details →	ATL 06:30 → SFO 08:35UA 571	1h 48m San Francisco	SFO 10:23 → BUR 11:49UA 2115	8h 19m	99%	87%
American Details →	ATL 06:01 → DFW 07:33AA 2770	2h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:02 → BUR 11:26AA 1208	8h 25m	99%	86%
United Details →	ATL 08:50 → DEN 10:20UA 340	55m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	6h 58m	91%	82%
Southwest Details →	ATL 07:07 → DEN 08:16WN 204	54m Denver	DEN 09:10 → BUR 10:40WN 4179	6h 33m	87%	81%
American Details →	ATL 16:05 → DFW 17:20AA 1008	3h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597	8h 53m	100%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON