Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:16 am at Atlanta)

Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2626 at 20:56, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 2626 Delta Flight history →	ATL 20:56	CID 22:03	15%	3%	0.6%	77%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 17:31 → MSP 19:06DL 2654	3h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 22:16 → CID 23:28DL 5290 · flown by Endeavor	6h 57m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	1h 48m Minneapolis	MSP 15:38 → CID 16:50DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	5h 33m	97%	89%
American Details →	ATL 16:14 → DFW 17:47AA 1008	3h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:15 → CID 23:33AA 4235 · flown by Envoy	8h 19m	100%	88%
American Details →	ATL 11:08 → DFW 12:39AA 820	2h 52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:31 → CID 17:35AA 4318 · flown by Envoy	7h 27m	97%	86%
United Details →	ATL 08:51 → DEN 10:25UA 340	3h 30m Denver	DEN 13:55 → CID 17:01UA 5677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 10m	99%	81%
American Details →	ATL 13:30 → DFW 15:02AA 1276	1h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:44 → CID 18:52AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	6h 22m	90%	79%
American Details →	ATL 16:09 → CLT 17:22AA 5175 · flown by PSA	2h 26m Charlotte	CLT 19:48 → CID 21:21AA 3127	6h 12m	91%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON