Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 315 at 18:10, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 315 Delta Flight history →	ATL 18:10	JAC 20:04	16%	3%	0.7%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	2h 39m Salt Lake City	SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest	7h 42m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	3h 41m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:51 → JAC 16:58DL 509	8h 48m	100%	88%
United Details →	ATL 08:51 → DEN 10:23UA 340	3h 32m Denver	DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537	8h 34m	99%	84%
United Details →	ATL 11:10 → DEN 12:28UA 1327	3h 52m Denver	DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200	8h 43m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	56m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282	6h 00m	90%	81%
American Details →	ATL 06:01 → DFW 07:33AA 2770	3h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:36 → JAC 12:35AA 1883	8h 34m	99%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON