Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2418 at 18:25, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2418 Southwest	AUS 18:25	BUR 19:45	19%	5%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Austin). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	AUS 06:00 → LAS 06:57WN 322	2h 34m Las Vegas	LAS 09:31 → BUR 10:38WN 281	6h 38m	100%	93%
United Details →	AUS 08:30 → DEN 09:49UA 595	1h 26m Denver	DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154	6h 18m	98%	89%
United Details →	AUS 13:30 → SFO 15:36UA 1336	3h 15m San Francisco	SFO 18:51 → BUR 20:22UA 2001	8h 52m	99%	88%
Southwest Details →	AUS 08:32 → LAS 09:28WN 323	2h 45m Las Vegas	LAS 12:13 → BUR 13:23WN 2133	6h 51m	100%	88%
American Details →	AUS 06:00 → DFW 07:19AA 579	3h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:20 → BUR 11:58AA 1208	7h 58m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	AUS 06:25 → ATL 09:45DL 1258	1h 34m Atlanta	ATL 11:19 → BUR 12:55DL 483	8h 30m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671	56m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	5h 52m	91%	86%
United Details →	AUS 08:40 → SFO 10:25UA 1668	3h 25m San Francisco	SFO 13:50 → BUR 15:17UA 626	8h 37m	99%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON