tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: B6 2272 at 07:00 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 22%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2272 JetBlue Flight history → AUS 07:00 FLL 10:52 8% 2% 0.7% 86%
B6 1972 JetBlue Flight history → AUS 15:20 FLL 19:14 22% 9% 0.8% 54%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Austin). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:30 → IAH 06:33UA 1966 1h 25m Houston IAH 07:58 → FLL 11:55UA 2261 5h 25m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → AUS 07:10 → IAH 08:13UA 2393 2h 05m Houston IAH 10:18 → FLL 14:09UA 2670 5h 59m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:20 → DTW 09:21DL 1040 3h 09m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 9h 14m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → AUS 06:25 → ATL 09:45DL 1258 1h 40m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 5h 55m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 8h 02m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563 1h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:28 → FLL 11:39AA 2511 5h 38m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:57UA 361 2h 53m Denver DEN 09:50 → FLL 15:53UA 1214 9h 14m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → AUS 06:40 → ORD 09:39UA 1878 1h 20m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 7h 33m 99% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON