tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: American via DFW, leaving 05:01, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Midland on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Midland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563 2h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:27 → MAF 09:49AA 3643 · flown by Envoy 4h 48m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:57UA 361 3h 08m Denver DEN 10:05 → MAF 12:59UA 5333 · flown by SkyWest 7h 20m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → AUS 10:27 → DFW 11:43AA 794 3h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:36 → MAF 16:53AA 3653 · flown by Envoy 6h 26m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → AUS 15:04 → DFW 16:25AA 2198 3h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:06 → MAF 21:29AA 4172 · flown by Envoy 6h 25m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:30 → IAH 06:33UA 1966 3h 02m Houston IAH 09:35 → MAF 11:07UA 6186 · flown by Mesa 5h 37m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → AUS 18:04 → IAH 19:10UA 1326 2h 48m Houston IAH 21:58 → MAF 23:37UA 1592 5h 33m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:00 → DFW 06:17AA 862 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:16 → MAF 08:36AA 5013 · flown by SkyWest 3h 36m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → AUS 07:10 → IAH 08:13UA 2393 3h 42m Houston IAH 11:55 → MAF 13:34UA 6338 · flown by Mesa 6h 24m 100% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON