Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:25, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Milwaukee on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	AUS 06:25 → ATL 09:45DL 1258	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246	7h 25m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344	2h 04m Atlanta	ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151	6h 28m	97%	91%
Delta Details →	AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976	1h 35m Atlanta	ATL 15:29 → MKE 16:31DL 1206	5h 56m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	AUS 16:55 → ATL 20:29DL 1397	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268	7h 01m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	AUS 08:00 → DTW 11:58DL 559	3h 52m Detroit	DTW 15:50 → MKE 16:02DL 1343	8h 02m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	AUS 06:10 → MSP 09:00DL 1242	1h 05m Minneapolis	MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561	5h 07m	97%	89%
United Details →	AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:57UA 361	3h 00m Denver	DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:25UA 1836	7h 46m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	AUS 13:31 → ATL 17:00DL 2011	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 19:41 → MKE 20:41DL 2388	7h 10m	98%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON