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Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 2208 at 13:56, with a 17% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2208 Southwest AUS 13:56 OKC 15:16 17% 4% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:57UA 361 3h 08m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 7h 22m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020 6h 47m 98% 88%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 06:00 → LAS 06:57WN 322 1h 13m Las Vegas LAS 08:10 → OKC 12:38WN 3495 6h 38m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563 2h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:58 → OKC 10:11AA 1902 5h 10m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → AUS 16:55 → ATL 20:29DL 1397 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 6h 57m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:52 → CLT 09:33AA 1032 1h 15m Charlotte CLT 10:48 → OKC 12:25AA 1626 6h 33m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → AUS 04:58 → DFW 06:15AA 862 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:12 → OKC 08:24AA 4946 · flown by SkyWest 3h 26m 94% 84%
DeltaDetails → AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 5h 47m 98% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → AUS 16:18 → IAH 17:19UA 685 53m Houston IAH 18:12 → OKC 19:53UA 5278 · flown by SkyWest 3h 35m 73% 61%
UnitedDetails → AUS 18:04 → IAH 19:10UA 1326 48m Houston IAH 19:58 → OKC 21:31UA 1084 3h 27m 70% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON