tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: United via Denver, leaving 05:39, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Portland on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 541 Alaska Flight history → AUS 07:15 PDX 09:25 9% 2% 0.7% 90%
AS 1396 Alaska Flight history → AUS 17:41 PDX 19:50 10% 4% 0.7% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Austin). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → AUS 06:10 → MSP 09:00DL 1242 1h 59m Minneapolis MSP 10:59 → PDX 12:40DL 1661 8h 30m 98% 92%
UnitedDetails → AUS 08:30 → DEN 09:49UA 595 3h 38m Denver DEN 13:27 → PDX 15:13UA 2455 8h 43m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → AUS 09:43 → MSP 12:41DL 3813 · flown by SkyWest 3h 17m Minneapolis MSP 15:58 → PDX 17:35DL 2008 9h 52m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 16:52 → PDX 18:56DL 503 10h 21m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:57UA 361 1h 08m Denver DEN 08:05 → PDX 09:47UA 1247 6h 08m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → AUS 13:30 → SFO 15:36UA 1336 3h 35m San Francisco SFO 19:11 → PDX 21:13UA 1227 9h 43m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → PDX 12:58DL 2206 9h 33m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → AUS 13:48 → MSP 16:35DL 2062 1h 59m Minneapolis MSP 18:34 → PDX 20:15DL 2151 8h 27m 96% 90%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON