tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 407 Southwest BDL 10:40 BNA 12:15 3% 2% 0.5% no record
WN 1397 Southwest BDL 16:40 BNA 17:57 9% 3% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Hartford). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 2h 54m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 6h 30m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BDL 07:35 → MSP 09:29DL 1330 3h 21m Minneapolis MSP 12:50 → BNA 14:52DL 2843 8h 17m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 14:24 → BNA 14:37DL 790 7h 32m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672 2h 43m Chicago ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414 7h 20m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964 1h 05m Detroit DTW 08:30 → BNA 09:11DL 2682 4h 41m 97% 89%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635 1h 01m Dulles IAD 08:27 → BNA 09:23UA 1366 4h 23m 97% 89%
AmericanDetails → BDL 07:38 → CLT 09:50AA 2133 3h 18m Charlotte CLT 13:08 → BNA 13:39AA 1295 7h 01m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → BDL 07:15 → ORD 09:05AA 2163 1h 48m Chicago ORD 10:53 → BNA 12:36AA 2362 6h 21m 98% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON