Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, B6 676 at 06:28, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 676 JetBlue Flight history →	BDL 06:28	JFK 07:30	6%	2%	0.7%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964	2h 49m Detroit	DTW 10:14 → JFK 11:58DL 2751	6h 28m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → JFK 16:29DL 1575	8h 24m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → JFK 13:20DL 2380	7h 20m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	BDL 13:50 → ATL 16:20DL 1082	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → JFK 21:29DL 2398	7h 39m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	BDL 13:15 → DTW 15:10DL 2163	2h 43m Detroit	DTW 17:53 → JFK 19:49DL 1316	6h 34m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BDL 18:00 → ATL 20:47DL 2739	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 22:34 → JFK 00:46 +1DL 1632	6h 46m	97%	87%
American Details →	BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182	3h 20m Charlotte	CLT 11:28 → JFK 13:22AA 374	7h 21m	99%	86%
American Details →	BDL 05:47 → MIA 09:00AA 412	1h 53m Miami	MIA 10:53 → JFK 13:57AA 2062	8h 10m	99%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON