tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 22%, against 8% on a calm day. Safest: B6 737 at 10:05, 12%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 737 JetBlue Flight history → BDL 10:05 MCO 13:12 12% 3% 1.8% 86%
WN 3381 Southwest BDL 15:59 MCO 18:46 31% 10% 1.3% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635 1h 19m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 08m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964 1h 20m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MCO 11:23DL 1455 5h 53m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672 3h 06m Chicago ORD 11:00 → MCO 15:03UA 2008 8h 54m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → BDL 05:47 → MIA 09:00AA 412 1h 47m Miami MIA 10:47 → MCO 12:02AA 2587 6h 15m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 00m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182 2h 10m Charlotte CLT 10:18 → MCO 12:00AA 1670 5h 59m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → BDL 07:00 → ATL 09:26DL 2554 2h 41m Atlanta ATL 12:07 → MCO 13:34DL 1562 6h 34m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → BDL 05:35 → DCA 07:15AA 3081 3h 42m Washington DCA 10:57 → MCO 13:24AA 1643 7h 49m 100% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON