tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via LaGuardia, leaving 05:40, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Atlanta on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BGR 05:40 → LGA 07:22DL 5137 · flown by Endeavor 3h 37m New York LGA 10:59 → ATL 13:20DL 993 7h 40m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → BGR 11:55 → LGA 13:38DL 5254 · flown by Endeavor 2h 22m New York LGA 16:00 → ATL 19:07DL 969 7h 12m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → BGR 16:03 → JFK 17:41DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor 1h 19m New York JFK 19:00 → ATL 22:11DL 962 6h 08m 93% 84%
AmericanDetails → BGR 11:01 → PHL 13:07AA 6123 · flown by Piedmont 2h 13m Philadelphia PHL 15:20 → ATL 17:31AA 5250 · flown by PSA 6h 30m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → BGR 16:58 → LGA 18:40DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor 1h 50m New York LGA 20:30 → ATL 23:43DL 975 6h 45m 92% 79%
UnitedDetails → BGR 12:06 → EWR 13:58UA 4166 · flown by GoJet 1h 59m Newark EWR 15:57 → ATL 18:41UA 1848 6h 35m 96% 77%
AmericanDetails → BGR 15:40 → CLT 18:27AA 1411 3h 28m Charlotte CLT 21:55 → ATL 23:15AA 1656 7h 35m 98% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON