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Any day
Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tue, Oct 6: WN 769 at 05:57 is the safest bet, 2% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 13%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 769 Southwest BHM 05:57 BNA 07:06 2% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 580 Southwest BHM 17:06 BNA 18:11 13% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BHM 05:20 → ATL 07:32DL 2162 3h 49m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 6h 10m 100% 93%
DeltaDetails → BHM 06:25 → DTW 09:27DL 3006 2h 58m Detroit DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557 6h 38m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BHM 06:15 → ATL 08:24DL 1618 1h 33m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 3h 54m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → BHM 09:30 → ATL 11:34DL 3100 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 4h 33m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BHM 10:42 → ATL 12:46DL 3164 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 4h 44m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BHM 17:27 → ATL 19:30DL 2484 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121 5h 48m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → BHM 10:16 → DTW 13:20DL 3685 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Detroit DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316 6h 24m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → BHM 05:24 → DFW 07:38AA 4186 · flown by Envoy 2h 30m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:08 → BNA 12:16AA 1396 6h 52m 98% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON