Tuesday, October 6 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 393 at 16:55, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 393 Southwest	BNA 16:55	ALB 20:15	9%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	BNA 14:06 → BWI 16:58WN 462	3h 00m Baltimore	BWI 19:58 → ALB 21:16WN 1533	6h 10m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682	2h 01m Detroit	DTW 14:47 → ALB 16:32DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	5h 26m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 12m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439	1h 55m Detroit	DTW 10:41 → ALB 12:27DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	5h 22m	98%	88%
United Details →	BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465	2h 16m Chicago	ORD 11:57 → ALB 15:04UA 2792	6h 24m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 15:07 → ALB 17:30DL 1241	6h 42m	100%	88%
American Details →	BNA 08:26 → CLT 11:10AA 966	3h 05m Charlotte	CLT 14:15 → ALB 16:31AA 1075	7h 05m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 21:38 → ALB 23:59DL 2584	6h 28m	99%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Tue, Oct 6 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON